© 2003-2006 David Moles

Chrononautic Log

   

December 22, 2004

madness

Infinite monkey theory redux

10:37 AM, Wednesday, December 22, 2004

Contra Plymouth University’s monkey results from last year, no less reputable a publication than the Weekly World News reports that monkeys at the Raleigh Institute, near Manchester, have successfully produced “Romeo and Juliet.”

“We’ve been holding our breath for weeks,” says Alan Ripshaw, the researcher in charge of the Monkey Project. “We knew the monkeys were getting close, but we’ve had a number of false starts.

“One time they got to the fourth act of Macbeth, before making a mistake. The monkeys also recently typed out a Thomas Pynchon novel, but that doesn't count.”

Ripshaw says he began the project because he was intrigued with the controversy over whether Shakespeare really was the author of the plays bearing his name.

“Some scholars think Bacon was the real author,” Ripshaw says. “That’s when I had the thought, ‘What if they were written by monkeys?’”

Of such thoughts is scientific history made.

(Via Maureen.)

Comments (1)

December 17, 2004

science

Another triumph for Drosophila

9:35 AM, Friday, December 17, 2004

French scientists prove that nerdy fruit flies have unhappy childhoods. Well, short childhoods. As in, fewer of them live through it.

Something that any geek who lived through junior high will understand.

(Via Gwenda.)

Comments (2)

December 15, 2004

log

Someone needs to have their ass kicked (updated)

1:00 PM, Wednesday, December 15, 2004

I’ve just spent half [Updated] an hour dealing with a denial of service attack in the form of comment spam. MT-Blacklist no avail. Brought the server to a complete stop; luckily Rob was home for lunch and was able to flip the big red switch, but as soon as it came up again — bam, same thing. Managed to stop the web server; problem went away. Log messages are full of:

[Wed Dec 15 12:14:09 2004] [error] [client 66.119.33.153] Premature end of script headers: mt-comments.cgi

from four IP addresses: 66.119.33.153-156. Those, in turn, resolve to proxyche01-04.ia3.marketscore.com, said domain being allegedly based on Sunset Hills Road in Reston, VA. I’m not going to link to or even describe their web site, except to say that it’s professionally designed and looks like it might be supporting three or four different kinds of scam.

And they definitely need to have their asses kicked.

Comments (14)

December 14, 2004

politics

As I was saying

2:03 PM, Tuesday, December 14, 2004

Apparently, the connection between federalism and rolling back the New Deal is an even straighter line than I thought it was:

States’ rights conservatives have always been nostalgic for the pre-1937 doctrines, which they have lately taken to calling the Constitution-in-Exile. They argue — at conferences like “Rolling Back the New Deal” and in papers like “Was the New Deal Constitutional?” — that Congress lacks the power to do things like forcing employers to participate in Social Security. Given how entrenched New Deal programs have become in more than half a century, these plans for reversing history have always seemed more than a bit quixotic.

But that may be about to change. . . .[T]wo Californians who use marijuana for medical reasons argued that Congress, which passed the Controlled Substances Act, did not have the constitutional power to stop them. To pass a law, Congress needs a constitutional hook, and the Controlled Substances Act relied on one of the most important ones, the Commerce Clause, which authorizes Congress to “regulate Commerce . . . among the several States.” The Californians argued that their marijuana did not involve interstate commerce because it never left their state.

That is where Wickard v. Filburn comes in. Roscoe Filburn was a farmer who argued that his wheat crop should not fall under federal production quotas because much of it was consumed on his own farm. The Supreme Court held that even if that wheat did not enter interstate commerce, wheat grown for use on a farm altered supply and demand in the national market. The decision gave Congress broad power to regulate things that are located in one state, like factories and employer-employee relationships.

Some leading conservatives want the court to overturn Wickard and replace it with a pair of decisions from the 1800's that one brief filed in the case said would return “Commerce Clause jurisprudence to its settled limits prior to the New Deal.” . . .

If the Supreme Court drifts rightward in the next four years, as seems likely, it could not only roll back Congress’s Commerce Clause powers, but also revive other dangerous doctrines. Before 1937, the court invoked “liberty of contract” to strike down a Nebraska law regulating the weight of bread loaves, which kept buyers from being cheated, and a New York law setting a maximum 10-hour workday. Randy Barnett, the law professor who represented the medical marijuana users, argues in a new book that minimum wage laws infringe on “the fundamental natural right of freedom of contract.”

In pre-1937 America, workers were exploited, factories were free to pollute, and old people were generally poor when they retired. This is not an agenda the public would be likely to sign onto today if it were debated in an election. But conservatives, who like to complain about activist liberal judges, could achieve their anti-New Deal agenda through judicial activism on the right. Judges could use the so-called Constitution-in-Exile to declare laws on workplace safety, environmental protection and civil rights unconstitutional.

Getting rid of Wickard would be an important first step.

— Adam Cohen, “What's New in the Legal World? A Growing Campaign to Undo the New Deal”, New York Times, 14 December 2004

Note that it’s not just the same legal issues that connect states’ rights on medical marijuana to the New Deal — it’s the same lawyers.

Comments (1)

December 13, 2004

economics

Slush report (20E) #0

11:09 AM, Monday, December 13, 2004

What part of “We will be accepting submissions from December 20th, 2004, to March 21st, 2005” don’t you . . .

Ah, forget it.

Comments (3)

art

Writer’s slab

11:04 AM, Monday, December 13, 2004


Figure 1. The first step is to admit you have a problem.

Comments (0)

December 10, 2004

politics

Seize the frame: Moral superiority

9:56 AM, Friday, December 10, 2004

An excellent suggestion from John Holbo:

Now the striking thing about 'politically correct' is that it really means the same as 'moral values', as per Republican rhetoric and post-election polls, etc. Both terms denote sets of moral beliefs which are held strongly enough that believers are prepared to impose them on others, politically. Obviously the sets in question are different, but the thing that makes the term toxic to the bearer is actually the connotation. The elitist moral superiority of it. So what we need is an appropriate analog to pin on conservatives. There ought to be one, by rights, since the Republicans surely are elitists, and they surely do think they are highly morally superior.

Once you put the problem that way, the solution is obvious. Let's get in the habit of calling Republican moral elitists: 'the moral elite', 'morally elite', 'moral elitists'. Just use the terms as flat descriptors for anyone proposing to legislate morality in any of the usual ways. Just to change things up, sometimes you use: 'morally superior' to designate the attitude. And 'moral superiors' to designate the tribe. Maybe you start to distinguish, as a matter of course, between legislation that ensures 'moral superiority' and the regular stuff. Talk about Repubicans taking 'necessary moral superiority measures'.

The beauty of it is that 'morally superior' is already a term of faint opprobrium. It connotes petty social snobbery, schoolmarmery, so forth. It stinks. And it fits. Perfect for our purposes. And 'moral superiors' sounds worse.

It should be hard for Republicans to unstick this stuff from themselves, if accurately applied, because what are they going to do: deny that they are morally superior? In the context of, say, proposing to legislate against gay marriage, can they deny that they think they are morally superior to those who think this stuff would be alright? If they deny they are morally superior, then what do they think they are doing? Letting your neighbor be is such a fundamental American value that it is very embarrassing to be on the wrong side of it, as Republican often are these days.

Elite is another good one. Republicans love to dish it out. They ought to get a taste of their own medicine. Again, the hook should be hard to weasel off. Suppose the target denies being 'a moral elite'. Then what proper business does this lot have bothering their neighbors with imposed 'moral values'? Only an elite should think it knows enough about right and wrong to take that rather extreme step. If they are not an elite, they are morally irresponsible.

There should be endless chances to needle people. 'Over at the Corner there is a lot of moral superiority blogging going on today ...' 'Senator, do you support this measure because you are morally superior?' Right now it sounds a little odd, these terms. That's why we have to start using them today. Break them in.

It’s worth a shot.

Comments (0)

December 8, 2004

politics

The back of the envelope is calculated in blood

5:47 PM, Wednesday, December 8, 2004

From Salon:

For every American soldier killed in Iraq, nine others have been wounded and survived — the highest rate of any war in U.S. history. It isn’t that their injuries were less serious, a new report says. In fact, some young soldiers and Marines have had faces, arms and legs blown off and are now returning home badly maimed. But they have survived thanks, in part, to armor-like vests and fast treatment from doctors on the move with surgical kits in backpacks.

“This is unprecedented. People who lose not just one but two or three extremities are people who just have not survived in the past,” said Dr. Atul Gawande, a surgeon at Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Boston who researched military medicine and wrote about it in Thursday's New England Journal of Medicine.

The back of the envelope (all numbers are approximate):

  • Ratio of wounded to killed in Afghanistan/Iraq: 10:1.
  • Ratio of wounded to killed in Vietnam: 3:1.
  • Total killed in Vietnam: 50,000.
  • Total casualties in Vietnam (10 years): 200,000. (Calculated.)
  • Avg. casualties per year in Vietnam: 20,000. (Calculated.)
  • Total casualties in Afghanistan/Iraq (18 mos.): 11,300.
  • Avg. casualties per year in Afghanistan/Iraq: 7,500. (Calculated.)
  • Peak number of US troops in Vietnam: 500,000.
  • Peak number of US troops in Afghanistan/Iraq: 150,000.
  • Avg. casualties per 1000 soldiers per year, Vietnam: 40. (Calculated.)
  • Avg. casualties per 1000 soldiers per year, Afghanistan/Iraq: 50. (Calculated.)

So the good news is that body armor, battlefield medicine, medical evacuation services, and general trauma care are much better.

The bad news is that the fighting is just about as bad, if not worse.

Support the troops.

Comments (2)

science

Dept. of Unexplained Phenomena

11:29 AM, Wednesday, December 8, 2004

From the Independent:

As Paul Sieveking, who has spent nearly 30 years with the Fortean Times, sifting and adding to its three-million-item archive of the strange, says: “Phenomena occur much more often than people imagine.“ And so, the world being in a constant state of Just Fancy That, we've developed a sort of Richter Scale of the Remarkable.

Comments (1)

December 6, 2004

art

More on craft (Updated)

11:00 AM, Monday, December 6, 2004

If y’all aren’t reading Will Shetterly’s weblog, you should be. He’s had a string of good writercraft posts lately:


Update:

Comments (1)

December 2, 2004

art

State of the craft

8:13 AM, Thursday, December 2, 2004

Long, long rewrite request from the fine folks at Strange Horizons for “Planet of the Amazon Women”. Some things I already knew (or should have known), but a lot of stuff I wouldn’t have thought of. And they get what I was trying to do. I knew I sent it to the right shop.

No word yet from F&SF on “Finisterra” after two weeks. Rejectomantic analysis says this is a good sign. Still, if I haven’t heard in another couple of weeks, I’ll drop them a note.

Had another anxiety attack about the first part of the novel and ordered eighty dollars worth of used books on strikebreaking and urban insurrections from Powell’s to compensate. God help me, I might have to start drawing maps.

Got seven days to write a holiday story for the writers’ group. Was hoping to get a kind of Tom Waits meets Joseph Conrad thing going, but at this point I’ll settle for getting it done. Opening line: Charlie Marlow steps off the gangplank of the Ticonderoga onto a pier lit by gaslamps and Chinese lanterns, under a sky the color of coal-dust.

Comments (6)

December 1, 2004

politics

One last thought on the election

8:05 AM, Wednesday, December 1, 2004

He assumes that the moral and intellectual problems of the transformation of Society have been already solved — that a plan exists, and that nothing remains except to put it into operation. He assumes further that Society is divided into two parts: the proletariat who are converted to the plan, and the rest who for purely selfish reasons oppose it. He does not understand that no plan could win until it had first convinced many people, and that, if there really were a plan, it would draw support from many different quarters.

Keynes on Trotsky, 1933, via Brad deLong. Plus ça la change.

Comments (1)