Doubt shed on infinite monkey theory
1 o'clock, May 9, 2003
Following up on our earlier report on Borges’ Library of Babel, we have a rather more discouraging note from the Dept. of Combinatorics. It is a well-known truism, often attributed to T.H. Huxley (and, for that reason, often attacked by creationists as if it meant something) that a sufficiently large number of monkeys, given sufficient time and sufficient typewriter ribbon, would eventually produce the works of Shakespeare.
Various probabilistic approaches have been made in an attempt to determine the required quantities of monkeys, time, and ribbon, but a recent small-scale experiment with nine monkeys suggests that the analysis may be less straightforward: the subjects of the experiment did not, in fact, type randomly, and their longest typed “utterances” consisted largely of the letter S. (It is worth noting, however, that the monkeys in question were provided not with a typewriter but with a word processor.)
Once, during the filming of a TV commercial involving ants and a cell phone, a question was raised about how many ants it would take to lift the cell phone in question. The "insect wrangler" in charge (Ray Mendez, who also wrangled the "death's head" moths for "Silence of the Lambs) said that he could give us a number, but the ants would never do it, because they had no motivation. That may also have been the problem with the monkeys.